Our first 1,000!
1000
We started our EHP investor emails back in January 2018, just over a year ago. Thanks to all of you who have signed up, we are now approaching 1,000 subscriptions. The total to today is 944. That’s an average of 55 new subscribers every month so far. The range has been wide. Our best month was this January with 126. Our worst month...?
Follows
Our worst month could be this month which ends on Friday. At the moment May is 13 new subs, which is just one less than March which was 14. As you can see, the range of monthly new subs has very closely matched with the performance of our share price. May, so far, is the lowest share price since we started.
13
But as we still have a few days to go until Friday, it’s likely that May will not be the lowest month, that will be March. This is encouraging because it shows that even when things are very very tough, we can still get a new subscriber every other day. It might also show we aren’t likely to go much lower.
Predict
Although it seems like the monthly subs are a coincident indicator meaning they move the same as the share price, we can try to use them as a forward looking predictor. We can try this by using a period shorter than one month. The slowest period was the first half of May when we only had 2 new subs...
22
That means since mid May we’ve had a much better 11 new subs. & we’ve seen an even faster pick up in the last one week. In 7 days we’ve had 8 new subs, so we’re running back at more than 1 per day. If we assume the 11 for half a moth & predict the monthly will rise back above 20, that’s good. 8 a week would be back to 40 & predict a turnabout for BWPT.
Sebastian
We started our EHP investor emails back in January 2018, just over a year ago. Thanks to all of you who have signed up, we are now approaching 1,000 subscriptions. The total to today is 944. That’s an average of 55 new subscribers every month so far. The range has been wide. Our best month was this January with 126. Our worst month...?
Follows
Our worst month could be this month which ends on Friday. At the moment May is 13 new subs, which is just one less than March which was 14. As you can see, the range of monthly new subs has very closely matched with the performance of our share price. May, so far, is the lowest share price since we started.
13
But as we still have a few days to go until Friday, it’s likely that May will not be the lowest month, that will be March. This is encouraging because it shows that even when things are very very tough, we can still get a new subscriber every other day. It might also show we aren’t likely to go much lower.
Predict
Although it seems like the monthly subs are a coincident indicator meaning they move the same as the share price, we can try to use them as a forward looking predictor. We can try this by using a period shorter than one month. The slowest period was the first half of May when we only had 2 new subs...
22
That means since mid May we’ve had a much better 11 new subs. & we’ve seen an even faster pick up in the last one week. In 7 days we’ve had 8 new subs, so we’re running back at more than 1 per day. If we assume the 11 for half a moth & predict the monthly will rise back above 20, that’s good. 8 a week would be back to 40 & predict a turnabout for BWPT.
Sebastian
Assuming 2H of May & last 1 week predict the turnaround 📈
